Analysis, U.S. Election Comment by Larry Ross, November 17, 2004
I think election fraud colours the whole
picture. It means Bush and the Republicans committed major crimes in order
to steal the US Presidency - again. It also means that most people in
the rest of the world have misjudged the American people, a majority of
whom did not vote for Bush. They were not been fooled by Bush and the
US media. Kerry did win and I think the rest of the world should recognise
that and do what we can to help Americans reclaim their country.
Election-Result
Maps, Humorous & Serious, Yield Better Insights
than US Media's Simplistic "Red vs. Blue State" Analysis Evan Augustine Peterson III, J.D., November
17, 2004 "As democracy is perfected, the office
of the presidency represents, more and more
closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious
day the plain folks of the land will
reach their hearts' desire at last and the White
House will be adorned by a downright moron." - H.L. Mencken (1880-1958)
Let us hope the acerbic Mencken was wrong
about that, while recognizing the distinct possibility that we might have
just proved him right! In either case, we can all agree that the
outcome of the 2004 election was disastrous for Democrats, who lost the
White House, four seats in the House of Representatives, and four more
in the Senate: http://www.nytimes.com/ref/elections2004/2004President.html
Of course, the psychology of political
defeats roughly mirrors that of sports. Just as a series of resounding defeats will cause some baseball fans to become depressed, and others to hide
by wearing paper bags over their heads at home
games, and still others to defect from their teams by wearing New York Yankees caps to "identify with a winner," so too will some Democrats feel depressed,
while others try to hide by assimilating into the discredited Democratic Leadership Council's "Republican-Lite" centrism, and still others convert to Mr. Bush's
Unholy Church Of The War Party.
However, we really ought not to supinely
surrender to Mr. Bush and his Republican
majority regardless of whether we're a rank-and-file Democrat or the ranking
House minority leader, because almost half -- 48% -- of the electorate voted for John Kerry!
Therefore, here's an animated "Guide To
Recovery" for those among us who still
need a cure for those Blue-State Blues: http://www.markfiore.com/animation/depressed.html
And for anyone who might be tempted to
assimilate, surrender to nihilism, or outright
defect, this might help to ease your pain. Maps have been circulating
which interpret the 2004 US presidential election results in insightful, embittered, and hilarious ways. Therefore, you really ought to check out this cathartic
collection of "Red vs. Blue" maps (scroll through them by clicking "Next
Picture" under each map): http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/images/blpic-jesusland.htm
And we should look at the bigger picture
before prematurely concluding that red-state
extremists like Ann Coulter are correct, and that blue-state "liberals"
should either join "those ungrateful cheese-eating surrender monkeys,
the French," or be involuntarily expelled
from the Union. Consider this scientific poll,
conducted before the US election, in which people worldwide "voted" for Mr. Bush or Mr. Kerry. It's encouraging
to note that Mr. Bush would've been elected
only in: (1) Israel; (2) Poland; (3) Saudi Arabia; (4) Uruguay; and (5) the
Canadian province of Alberta! Outside of the USA, it's a blue-state world: http://bigpicture.typepad.com/writing/2004/11/red_blue_world.html
On a more cautionary note, consider this
historical comparison between the "Pre-Civil
War Free vs. Slave States" and the "2004 US Presidential Election Results," which disturbingly suggests that racism is still the driving force behind
our red-state vs. blue-state split: http://bigpicture.typepad.com/writing/2004/11/voting_free_ves.html
Then further consider that the Republicans
seem to be recrudescing a postmodern
version of Confederate Dixie, according to the analysis in Georgian Heather Gray's 11-13-04 CP essay, "Whistling
Dixie: Bush's Reelection -- A Perspective
From The South": http://counterpunch.org/gray11132004.html
But wait! The post-election spin
from the mainstream media has been telling us
that Republican voters were driven to the polls by their strong desire
to protect family values: "It's the
culture war, stupid!" If true, those voters were
badly mistaken, for a moral chasm exists concerning "family values," but it's not what they thought! How
so? You see, American divorce rates are actually
HIGHEST in red states (i.e., the South and the Inland West), and LOWEST
in blue states (i.e., the Upper Midwest
and the Northeast). By the way, this is illustrated
in a 11-14-04 NYT map, entitled "Calling It Quits: Divorces Per 1,000
Adults In 2003": http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2004/11/14/weekinreview/20041114_BELLUCK_MAP.html
Also see the reviews of Thomas Frank's
What's The Matter With Kansas?, which has
to be this year's most prescient political book, at: http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0805073396/002-4398206-2532003
Therefore, it cannot be credibly maintained
that "family values" are more firmly
established inside the Republican red states -- that is, unless their extremely high divorce rates somehow
indicate the presence of "family values." To the
contrary, "family values" are NOT established in the Republican red states
because they have significantly MORE DIVORCES, whereas "family values" are established in the blue states
because they have significantly LESS DIVORCES, as
described in Pam Belluck's 11-04-04 NYT article, "To Avoid Divorce, Move
To Massachusetts":
Moreover, the stable families inside the
Democratic blue-states don't enjoy long-lasting
marriages because they espouse "family values," but rather because they
have HIGHER average personal incomes, which tends to creates stability. Contrastingly, the unstable families
inside the union-busting WalMartized Republican
red states aren't plagued by more divorces because they espouse "family
values," but rather because they suffer from LOWER average personal incomes, which tends to creates instability: http://blog.evankai.com/red_v_blue_avg_personal_income.php
Furthermore, aren't red states ideologically
opposed to "big government," and shouldn't
they be the most financially independent? Not so! In fact,
the Republican red states are not only
the POOREST but also the MOST DEPENDENT ON FEDERAL
MONEY, whereas the Democratic blue states are the most PROSPEROUS and the LEAST DEPENDENT on federal money! By the way, you'll find a map and some charts
that clearly illustrate this fact in "Red States Feed At The Federal Trough,
Blue States Supply The Feed": http://bigpicture.typepad.com/writing/2004/11/red_states_feed.html
Finally, three University of Michigan professors
have demonstrated why the geography-based "red state vs. blue state" map is deceptive in their Maps And Cartograms
Of The 2004 US Presidential Election Result:
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/ Profs. Gastner, Newman, and Shalizi have done this by using easily-understood cartograms which adjust the size of each state in proportion to its actual population. For example, "red state" Wyoming looks geographically impressive because it's sixty times larger than tiny "blue state" Rhode Island, but Wyoming has only 500,000 people, whereas Rhode Island has 1.1 million people. Hence, big-but-empty Wyoming actually has 50% fewer votes in the Electoral College than tiny-but-crowded Rhode Island. Conclusion: When population distribution
is taken into account, the Republicans' seemingly-overwhelming nationwide
victory was nowhere near as dominant as the media spinmeisters would have
us believe, because: (1) their oversimplified "red state vs. blue state" analysis doesn't hold up under closer scrutiny; and (2) the most important
electoral dividing-line was NOT geography but rather DEMOGRAPHY, insofar
as (a) heavily-populated URBAN areas tended to be Democratic blue, whereas
(b) sparsely-populated RURAL areas tended to be Republican red, and (c)
medium-populated SUBURBAN areas tended toward a purple admixture of Dem
blue and Rep red.
The Bottom Line: If the American people
really want to stop "talking the talk"
and actually "walk the walk" of authentic family values, we'd better turn our states Democratic blue; if American
voters really want to live like Republican "haves" and "have-mores," we'd better vote for Democratic Congresspersons in 2006; and if Democrats really want
to recapture the White House, we'd better stop
letting "he who has the gold make the rules" by jettisoning the plutocratic
DLC now, and then nominate a genuine progressive who is telegenic, likable,
and principled, in 2008.
is the Executive Director of the
American Center for International Law ("ACIL").
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